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Weekly market update - 9 March 2010

Local markets
Global markets
Market movements
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Local markets

The ASX 200 rallied for a seventh consecutive day yesterday to +3.7 per cent above the close of Friday 26 February The last time we have seen seven positive days in a row was in mid- July 2009.

Equities have been supported by stronger economic sentiment following the narrowing of the nation’s trade deficit by more than expected.

Resource stocks have been the main driver of the strong market performance, on the back of soaring commodity prices.
Local markets

The ASX 200 rallied for a seventh consecutive day yesterday to +3.7 per cent above the close of Friday 26 February The last time we have seen seven positive days in a row was in mid- July 2009.

Equities have been supported by stronger economic sentiment following the narrowing of the nation’s trade deficit by more than expected.

Resource stocks have been the main driver of the strong market performance, on the back of soaring commodity prices.
Global markets

Equity markets
Markets around the world were buoyed by better than expected US unemployment figures and reduced fears of Greek default, with European markets the greatest beneficiaries of the reduced threat to the Euro.

The French CAC 40 (+5.3 per cent) and the German DAX (+5.0 per cent) posted strong gains. Gains were also felt across the Atlantic with the US S&P 500 (+3.3 per cent) rising for a sixth straight day.

The reassuring economic news last week pushed volatility to a near 21-month low. The VIX index, which tracks volatility on the US market and is known as the “fear” index, fell to its lowest level since May 2008.

Commodities
Industrial metals finished the week with healthy gains, with all of Aluminium (+4.5 per cent), Copper (+3.7 per cent) and Nickel (+5.3 per cent) rising in value.

Wheat, on the other hand, fell by 4.7 per cent after China, the world’s biggest grain consumer, announced it would keep large stockpiles to ensure food security.

Currencies
The Australian dollar (AUD) strengthened over the week to be trading at around US$0.91, following a string of positive currency sensitive announcements.

On a local front, the 25 basis point interest rate rise and the better than expected fourth quarter GDP result benefited the AUD.

Whilst on an international front, the positive US employment data, the announcement of Greece’s deficit-reduction plans and China’s indications of a prolonged loose monetary policy benefited the AUD.
Market movements

IndexClose last Friday% weekly movement% yearly movement
ASX 200
4,808
+3.7%
+52.7%
Dow Jones
10,562
+2.3%
+59.4%
S&P 500
1,140
+3.3%
+66.7%
Nasdaq
2,335
+4.3%
+80.4%
FTSE
5,607
+4.7%
+58.8%
DAX
5,876
+5.0%
+60.3%
CAC 40
3,904
+5.3%
+54.0%
Nikkei
10,586
+4.5%
+49.4%
Shanghai
3,053
0.0%
+44.1%
Hang Seng
21,197
+2.9%
+86.8%

Monthly market commentary - December 2009

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Investment market update
Australian shares
International shares
Property
Australian and international fixed interest
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Australian shares

Australian shares rose by 3.7 per cent in December to finish off a sterling year with a rise of nearly 38 per cent. Small Companies outperformed, rising by 4.3 per cent over the month and 57 per cent for the year. All sectors rallied, but Telecommunication and Consumer Staples lagged other sectors. The latter part of 2009 saw a return of merger and acquisition activity, which also pushed selective stocks higher.
International shares

Unhedged Global share market returns were in line with Australian shares, up 3.6 per cent for the month, but are largely flat over the 12 month period due to the rising value of the Australian dollar ($A) offsetting the recovery in prices. Hedged investors fared much better, with prices rallying by 27.5 per cent over the year. During the month the best performing sectors included Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary, while Financials underperformed as banks were largely unchanged for the month. Emerging Markets again outperformed, with Korea and Russia leading the pack.
Property

Listed Property Trusts returned 3.4 per cent for the month, marginally underperforming the broader equity market, as investors show renewed confidence that the worst of the commercial property market is now behind us. Some larger property transactions occurred late in the quarter, providing comfort that the falling valuations may be near an end.
Australian and international fixed interest

Bond markets produced negative returns in December as yields on government bonds rose sharply late in the month. Credit (non-government bonds) spreads have stopped contracting for the moment as buyers seem to be content to enjoy the still high running yield available on good quality assets.
Investment Market Update


Recent months have seen some recovery in world economic growth off a depressed base...

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